What do you think the most spoken languages will be by 2050?
I was looking at some population projections of countries (of course they are
simplified and cannot predict everything exactly, but they can be a guide) and it seems
like some of the most populous countries in the world will be Nigeria and India. And
that countries in Sub Saharan Africa are set to boom in population. There are also a
lot of resources in that region of Africa (although they are hard to get at because of
political risk) so there might be economic opportunities for Westerners who can come in
and communicate with those populations. Also, China (if it continues with its
population control policies from now until then) will have an aged population whereas
India and Nigeria will have working-age populations which should add to their economic
productivity.
What does the growth of Africa mean for languages? I always thought that many of the
growing countries in Africa speak English, French, and Arabic. True or not? Do the
people in Nigeria speak English or a type of creole?
Here is a projection of the most populous countries by 2050:
http://geography.about.com/od/lists/a/2050pop.htm
1. India - 1,692,008,000
2. China - 1,295,604,000
3. United States - 403,101,000
4. Nigeria - 389,615,000
5. Indonesia - 293,456,000
6. Pakistan - 274,875,000
7. Brazil - 222,843,000
8. Bangladesh - 194,353,000
9. Philippines - 154,939,000
10. Democratic Republic of the Congo - 148,523,000
11. Ethiopia - 145,187,000
12. Mexico - 143,925,000
13. Tanzania - 138,312,000
14. Russia - 126,188,000
15. Egypt - 123,452,000
16. Japan - 108,549,000
17. Vietnam - 103,962,000
18. Kenya - 96,887,000
19. Uganda - 94,259,000
20. Turkey - 91,617,000
It doesn't give us the whole picture because many countries in Africa are small in
size, so while the region as a whole may grow dramatically but only a few countries
will show up on the list.
Also important is: What is the language of business in these countries? Maybe the
people speak different languages at home but the educated or productive people will
have knowledge of a second language.
Last question: What is the *language family* that could go the farthest in speaking to
a lot of people? My guess learning Hindi would be a good start, then one could learn
Punjabi (my grandparents who speak Punjabi just call it "farmer Hindi," and then
Bengali).
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