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2031: More and Less Influential Languages

 Language Learning Forum : General discussion Post Reply
25 messages over 4 pages: 1 24  Next >>
anothername
Triglot
Groupie
Brazil
Joined 5062 days ago

96 posts - 195 votes 
Speaks: Portuguese*, Spanish, English

 
 Message 17 of 25
20 April 2011 at 3:56am | IP Logged 
HenryMW wrote:
I get the impression that Portuguese will be like German: spoken in a few important countries with some bounce beyond its borders.


As a brazilian, I would be more realistic and change your sentence to "spoken in ONE important country with NO significant bounce beyond its borders".

(sorry, portuguese people, I'm trully wishing you recover from the financial crisis, and you will)
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portunhol
Triglot
Senior Member
United States
thelinguistblogger.w
Joined 6253 days ago

198 posts - 299 votes 
Speaks: English*, Spanish, Portuguese
Studies: German, Arabic (classical)

 
 Message 18 of 25
20 April 2011 at 4:55pm | IP Logged 
hungh3 wrote:
I agree that economic factors play a crucial role.

Other factors I think worth considering are:

...the fact that English is relatively easy to learn...

...The growing number of intellects...

...because it satisfies so many requirements. In today context, if some serious readers want to access the latest materials in almost any field, English is the only language that can help....

...national pride may also be the deciding elements. And I think Chinese is going to keep expanding because of its huge population, migration and increasing economic might.


Best response so far! I think the famous linguist Nicholas Ostler summed it up best when he said that the two real factors that determine whether a language will be influential or not are:

1. The distribution of speakers.
2. Who those speakers are.

JasonE wrote:
Wasn't there a huge thread about this same thing not too long ago...?


You would think so wouldn't you? I looked and looked and couldn't find one.

I am surprised to read that there are those that think that everything will be linguistically the same in twenty years. There is this thing called globalization. There are going to be huge changes in twenty years. Just ask the Middle Easterners. I think that this also includes attitudes towards languages.
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SamD
Triglot
Senior Member
United States
Joined 6660 days ago

823 posts - 987 votes 
Speaks: English*, Spanish, French
Studies: Portuguese, Norwegian

 
 Message 19 of 25
20 April 2011 at 9:42pm | IP Logged 
As a former instructor in English as a Second Language, I am skeptical about how easy it is to learn English. Plenty of people around the world struggle with English.

I teach English at the university level to native speakers, and many of them struggle with sentence structure, the spelling of common words and punctuation.

It is easy to learn a smattering of English and be able to communicate at a very basic level, but if you want to be fluent and handle English well, it's plenty of work.
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portunhol
Triglot
Senior Member
United States
thelinguistblogger.w
Joined 6253 days ago

198 posts - 299 votes 
Speaks: English*, Spanish, Portuguese
Studies: German, Arabic (classical)

 
 Message 20 of 25
22 April 2011 at 12:23am | IP Logged 
I have been surprised that so many people doubt that Chinese will be more influential in twenty years that it is now. Here's some reading for the doubters:

Chinese in the USA

Chinese in Europe

Chinese in India

Chinese in Africa

Chinese in South America

I'm not saying that Mandarin is going to replace English. I'm saying that more non-native speakers will know it in twenty years than do today.
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Chung
Diglot
Senior Member
Joined 7157 days ago

4228 posts - 8259 votes 
20 sounds
Speaks: English*, French
Studies: Polish, Slovak, Uzbek, Turkish, Korean, Finnish

 
 Message 21 of 25
22 April 2011 at 12:28am | IP Logged 
portunhol wrote:
I have been surprised that so many people doubt that Chinese will be more influential in twenty years that it is now. Here's some reading for the doubters:

Chinese in the USA

Chinese in Europe

Chinese in India

Chinese in Africa

Chinese in South America

I'm not saying that Mandarin is going to replace English. I'm saying that more non-native speakers will know it in twenty years than do today.


However will it achieve critical mass as a simple accounting by number of speakers doesn't mean much.

It ties back to Ostler's observations on the identity, distribution and political/cultural/economic/social clout of those speakers.
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Dr. POW
Groupie
Canada
Joined 4966 days ago

48 posts - 58 votes 
Studies: German, English*
Studies: French

 
 Message 22 of 25
22 April 2011 at 10:40pm | IP Logged 
I doubt that Mandarin is going to have the influence in the future that a lot of people
expect it to have.

Mandarin has no articles, along with several other languages, and that means a lot has
to be interpreted from context. Languages with gender-based nouns are a lot more
difficult to learn from the ground-up than a language without gender-based nouns.
Declensions in grammatical case and gender make a language more difficult as well.

Basically, I don't think a perfectly literate world will exist in which everybody knows
every grammatical rules of any language. Therefore, the more flexible a language is in
communicating an idea, the better. I'm thinking no genders, very little to no
declensions, flexible syntax, massive vocabulary, etc.

Of course, this is just my opinion, and even I think it's a dumb one.
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Nguyen
Senior Member
Vietnam
Joined 5094 days ago

109 posts - 195 votes 
Speaks: Vietnamese

 
 Message 23 of 25
27 April 2011 at 7:12am | IP Logged 
portunhol wrote:
I have been surprised that so many people doubt that Chinese will be more influential in twenty years that it is now. Here's some reading for the doubters:

Chinese in the USA

Chinese in Europe

Chinese in India

Chinese in Africa

Chinese in South America

I'm not saying that Mandarin is going to replace English. I'm saying that more non-native speakers will know it in twenty years than do today.


These numbers are not terribly large. Not nearly on the scale that the Chinese are learning English. Mandarin needs to be the lingua franca in China before it takes over elsewhere.
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lichtrausch
Triglot
Senior Member
United States
Joined 5961 days ago

525 posts - 1072 votes 
Speaks: English*, German, Japanese
Studies: Korean, Mandarin

 
 Message 24 of 25
27 April 2011 at 1:59pm | IP Logged 
Nguyen wrote:

These numbers are not terribly large. Not nearly on the scale that the Chinese are
learning English. Mandarin needs to be the lingua franca in China before it takes over
elsewhere.

Mandarin is and has been for decades the uncontested lingua franca in China. English is
learned to communicate with foreigners.


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