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Future outlook: French vs. Portuguese

 Language Learning Forum : General discussion Post Reply
Poll Question: Which language has a brighter future outlook?
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Iversen
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 Message 73 of 81
28 November 2012 at 11:28am | IP Logged 
The comparison between French and Portuguese is not really indicative of anything. The real battle will be between Spanish and Portuguese, and Spanish has three things going for it: 1) In Europe Spain is bigger on every single quantitative scale, 2) The Hispanophone population in North America is already big and growing, 3) there are more countries in Latinamerica with Spanish as their main language than there are Lusophone ones... although it has to be said that Brazil alone has almost as many inhabitants as the rest of South America put together. So among these two languages Spanish will always be number one, but if the economy of Brazil grows enough the Portuguese language will become more relevant for language learners world wide - especially if the Brazilians don't get too eager about learning foreign languages.

One thing that could serve as a warning about disregarding Portuguese is case of German compared to French. French is spoken in places all over the world, but with three focal points: the 'Hexagone', Quebec and (as a second language) in much of Northern and Western Africa. Besides it has for purely historical reasons had a role as the diplomatic language par excellence - but it is rapidly losing this role to English. German is mainly spoken as the native language in three countries in Europe, but it has become an important language party because of the power of the German economy, but also because it has a rich culture with lots of wellknown names. So being distributed in many countries is an advantage, but a strong economy and a rich (and exportable) culture in one country can mean a lot when people choose which languages they want to learn.

Edited by Iversen on 09 December 2012 at 6:14am

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FireViN
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 Message 74 of 81
28 November 2012 at 11:46am | IP Logged 
Surtalnar wrote:
Why the hell should the Spanish-speaking countries of South America communicate in Portuguese instead of Spanish with Brazil?


Well, that's weird coming from someone who learn languages. I agree with your post, but this sentence just doesn't make sense to me. Why would you learn French then? French people should speak German/English to communicate with Germany! Why learn Mandarin? The same applies.

Of course you can get by in Brazil speaking Spanish, but hey, it's not our native language! You'll succeed much more here if you speak Portuguese. Brazil is a regional power in South America, so many people are learning it to do business or whatever. Brazilians learn Spanish and English because we want to communicate with the world and can't (and we don't) demand people to speak Portuguese, but if you do, there's a higher chance of doing great business here.

Something that pisses off many brazilians is the assumption that all brazilians speak Spanish. Of course we'll gladly help you get by if you're traveling or anything, but people would be a lot more friendly to you if you bothered learning at least a little of the local language.

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beano
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 Message 75 of 81
28 November 2012 at 11:52am | IP Logged 
Brazil is a regional superpower. It is surrounded by Spanish-speaking nations, many of which are small economic players. Surely people in these countries have a motivation to learn Portuguese in order to increase their business opportunities. Much in the same way as some citizens of the countries lying to the east of Germany are able to speak German.
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justonelanguage
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 Message 76 of 81
28 November 2012 at 5:06pm | IP Logged 
Both French and Portuguese have their issues in regards to maintaining their linguistic might.

French:

1. Not that many native speakers compared to other UN languages
2. Much of its future is dependent on how it does in Africa but its future economic dominance is not as promising as, say, Brazil. (if it doesn't catch on/keep strong in Africa)

Portuguese:

1. Large native speaking population but apparently a lot of differences between European and Brazilian Portuguese.
2. Most of the future growth of the language is tied to Brazil, just one country...to be fair Brazil has a promising future in many aspects!

I also was confused about your statement saying that Spanish-speaking South Americans shouldn't learn Portuguese....English and Portuguese should be the two most "useful" languages for a South American.

Surtalnar wrote:
In Europe Portuguese is almost irrelevant, it's only spoken by 10 million people, which also speak English or Spanish. French is and always will be much more relevant in Europe, even in 50 years. In the upcoming years, the population of Portugal will further decrease, while the population of France will increase. Here in Germany, no school offers Portuguese, but most school offers French, one of the working languages of the European Union.

Also, French is very standardized and its varities are very unified, while with Portuguese there is the danger of splitting in two different languages.

I really don't see Portuguese as an upcoming world language, in Europe and Africa it's completly irrelevant compared to French and in South America it's spoken by just one country, whose population diligent learns Spanish and is surrounded by Spanish-speaking countries.

I don't deny that Portuguese will be important for Brazil's local usage, but Portuguese will be never used for international or supra-regional communication and trade. Why the hell should the Spanish-speaking countries of South America communicate in Portuguese instead of Spanish with Brazil? There is no reason. Spanish is internationally more recognized and many more people speak this language.

Portuguese will never mess up with Spanish or French as an international language.In the French-speaking countries of Europe French is used for communication, in West Africa French is used for communication. Between French Canada and the European French-speaking countries French is used for communication. But where could Portuguese used for interational or supra-regional communication? I see no place in the world. The Portuguese-countries are too splitted up in the world, and the only place where it could be used is between Brazil and Portugal or Angola, but those ties are too unimportant to be relevant, especially when I see the low economic power of Portugal and Portuguese Africa. Macao will be also completly Chinese in 50 years.


Edited by justonelanguage on 28 November 2012 at 5:07pm

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Presidio
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 Message 77 of 81
28 November 2012 at 10:37pm | IP Logged 

aodhanc wrote:
According to UNESCO, it's Spanish and Portuguese that are going to be the fastest-growing
languages of the future (aside from English).

Especially in Africa, Portuguese has strong potential for growth, with 5 countries were
it is official - Guinea Bissau, Cape Verde, Sao Tome e Principe, Angola and Mozambique.


-- It would be interesting to hear what UNESCO bases their opinion on.
Spanish? Yes. But Portugues? I would have to hear the justification for that opinion.

As far as Portuguese having a "strong potential for growth" in Africa....
None of the nations you listed are economic powerhouses that will have much of an impact on the world economy.

Neither are they what one would call "tourism destinations" that will draw people to them....even when they aren't embroiled in a civil war, drought, or health crisis.

As far as the topic of this thread goes, you leave out the fact that there are also a number of Africa nations where French is also an official (or unofficial but highly influential) language.   


beano wrote:
Brazil is a regional superpower. It is surrounded by Spanish-speaking nations, many of which are small economic players. Surely people in these countries have a motivation to learn Portuguese in order to increase their business opportunities. Much in the same way as some citizens of the countries lying to the east of Germany are able to speak German.


-- There is a flipside to that, as well.
If are Brazil you have a market of 15-plus nations between Mexico and Tierra Del Fuego whose primary language is Spanish.

If you wish to develop business partnerships with them, having government agencies and business representatives who speak Spanish would in essence kill 15-plus birds with one stone.


Besides France having strong economic influence around the world, French is a primary language of the UN, the EU and even the Olympics.

While Brazil will continue to grow in influence, Portugal is doing just the opposite, wallowing in debt, high unemployment, government instability, etc.


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Medulin
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 Message 78 of 81
29 November 2012 at 3:51pm | IP Logged 
Presidio wrote:



While Brazil will continue to grow in influence, Portugal is doing just the opposite, wallowing in debt, high unemployment, government instability, etc.

Same as Spain.
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beano
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 Message 79 of 81
29 November 2012 at 4:51pm | IP Logged 
Presidio wrote:



Besides France having strong economic influence around the world, French is a primary language of the UN, the EU and even the Olympics.




And the Eurovision song contest!
2 persons have voted this message useful



Medulin
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 Message 80 of 81
30 November 2012 at 8:22am | IP Logged 
The future outlook looks better for French since MUCH more people in the UK, Ireland, Germany, Austria, Italy, Flanders, the Netherlands, Italy, Scandinavia, Canada study French than Portuguese.

In Spain more people learn French than Portuguese.

In Argentina, most students opt for English instead of Portuguese.

Edited by Medulin on 30 November 2012 at 8:29am



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