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topaztrex Triglot Newbie Indonesia Joined 6170 days ago 20 posts - 37 votes Speaks: Mandarin, Indonesian*, English
| Message 105 of 108 22 June 2011 at 10:26pm | IP Logged |
Huliganov wrote:
I'm coming in late, but here's my 2050 predictions:
1. Chinese (all types)
2. English (all types)
3. Arabic (all dialects)
4. Russian
5. Spanish (all types)
6. Japanese
7. German
8. French
9/10.Portuguese and Korean(if there is Korean unification, Korean takes the higher
slot)
11. Italian
12. Turkish and mutually intellible forms of Turkic
13. Indic (all largely mutually intelligible types: Hindi, Urdu, Punjabi, etc)
14. Dutch with Afrikaans
15. Bahasa (Malay with Indonesian)
16. Polish
17. Mutually intelligible Scandywegian
18. ex Serbo-Croat group
19. Hebrew
20 Phaasa Thai (all dialects, and with Lao)
21. Czech with Slovak
22. Swahili
23. Vietnamese
24. Ukrainian
25. Greek
26. Farsi (unless Iran ends up being on the receiving end of US "attention" in the way
Iraq did, in which case I'd push it several spaces higher)
27. Romanian with Moldovan
28. Tagalog
29. Bulgarian
30. Armenian, unless it's Pushtu.
Probably thirty's enough.
This is by economic value, and the business and employment options that you would get
from knowing the language. Populations speaking these languages as first languages
would give an entirely different listing.
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This is a very exhaustive list, I would say. I like the way you group similar
languages together. I would change the last two spots though:
29. Finnish with Estonian
30. Bengali / Hungarian
Edited by topaztrex on 22 June 2011 at 10:26pm
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| Quinn Senior Member United States Joined 6324 days ago 134 posts - 186 votes Speaks: English* Studies: French, Italian, Spanish
| Message 106 of 108 23 June 2011 at 2:36am | IP Logged |
Here are my late picks for the top 5:
1. English - Even given China's rise as an economic leader and it's edge in the number of native speakers, English was already the lingua franca before the Internet took off and now it's completely ubiquitous. Besides, it's hard to imagine millions of Westerners becoming fluent in Mandarin in the near future.
2. Mandarin Chinese - China is the next superpower and Mandarin is the most widely spoken native language on the planet. These two factors alone will ensure it's place as one of the world's most dominant languages.
3. Spanish - The entire continent of South America (aside from Brazil) speaks Spanish and it's the fastest growing language in North America, too. Moreover, birth rates tend to be higher in many of the cultures where Spanish is the dominant language and Spanish speakers have been emigrating for decades, establishing communities all over the world. Finally, Spanish is probably the most widely-studied second language by native English speakers.
4. Arabic - The Muslim world is rapidly democratizing. With its wealth of natural resources, a large, young, and highly educated population, and a rich history as a language of religion and scholarship, Arabic seems positioned to become one of the world's most influential languages. Also due to religious/cultural barriers some pockets of the Arabic-speaking world do not share the same close contact with English as most of the rest of the world, which means these populations won't adopt English at the same rate as others. One factor working against Arabic is the reality that there are so many different dialects which are not mutually intelligible.
5. Russian - With the collapse of the Soviet Union, there's no question that the Russian language has lost influence. However, it is still spoken by a very large population and it is different enough from English and other Western languages, that many native speakers of Russian only know Russian, which means one must learn it to speak with them.
I actually expect that in the next few decades we are going to begin seeing strong evidence of language consolidation. With the rise of the Internet and cable television, I expect young people will gravitate more and more to English or to whichever language is most dominant in their sphere of influence (perhaps Mandarin in parts of Asia.) Eventually, I suspect that even some major languages will begin to wane. Much has been written about the decline of French as a lingua franca, but the Francophone world is still quite large and justifiably proud of the influence of its language and culture. However, in many countries such as the Netherlands and Germany, English is already so common that it's become almost a second national language. Given the reach of English/American pop culture, media, and the Internet, I expect this trend to gather increasing momentum with each new generation.
Edited by Quinn on 23 June 2011 at 2:47am
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| MarcusOdim Groupie Brazil Joined 4848 days ago 91 posts - 142 votes
| Message 107 of 108 20 September 2011 at 6:05pm | IP Logged |
My selection is based on my life and what would matter for most Brazilians (not only economically)
1. English (hehehe)
2. Spanish (hehe)
3. Mandarin (he)
4. French (widespread and economically/politically/culturaly important)
5. Italian (rather important culturaly)
6. German (economically/politically important and culturaly important in the south of Brazil)
7. Japanese
That's all
I'd learn Russian too just because it's cool
1 person has voted this message useful
| learnvietnamese Diglot Groupie Singapore yourvietnamese.comRegistered users can see my Skype Name Joined 4950 days ago 98 posts - 132 votes Speaks: Vietnamese*, EnglishC2 Studies: French, Mandarin
| Message 108 of 108 21 September 2011 at 8:00am | IP Logged |
My prediction regarding Japanese is that it would be the top 10 most popular languages in 2050, if it can keep its status as one of the top economies in the world.
I've met a number of friends in Southeast Asia, and a lot of them study Japanese, especially for those who already speak English and Chinese. And one of the main reasons is that they love Japanese culture.
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